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188宝金博页面版:  Steady streams and sudden bursts_ persistence patterns,Steady streams and sudden bursts_ persistence patterns

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内容提示： J Popul Econ (2016) 29:263–292DOI 10.1007/s00148-015-0565-9ORIGINAL PAPERSteady streams and sudden bursts: persistence patternsin remittance decisionsGiulia Bettin1·Riccardo Lucchetti1Received: 10 September 2014 / Accepted: 20 July 2015 /Published online: 23 August 2015Abstract This paper is the first systematic attempt to investigate the factors affectingtime persistence in individual remittance behaviour. By using micro-level longitudi-nal data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), we apply a wi...

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J Popul Econ (2016) 29:263–292DOI 10.1007/s00148-015-0565-9ORIGINAL PAPERSteady streams and sudden bursts: persistence patternsin remittance decisionsGiulia Bettin1·Riccardo Lucchetti1Received: 10 September 2014 / Accepted: 20 July 2015 /Published online: 23 August 2015Abstract This paper is the first systematic attempt to investigate the factors affectingtime persistence in individual remittance behaviour. By using micro-level longitudi-nal data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), we apply a wide variety ofdiscrete choice static and dynamic panel models to analyse the decision to remit. Ourresults provide evidence in favour of an intertemporal strategy. The persistence inremittance decisions is significantly influenced by “true state dependence”: migrantsthat remitted in the previous year have a significantly higher propensity to remit thisyear as well. We also show that remittance time patterns depend on both observ-able and unobservable individual socioeconomic characteristics, and in particular,that the household’stransnational compositionplays an important role in determiningremittance behaviour.Keywords Migration · Remittances · Persistence · State dependence · Discretepanel data modelsJEL Classification F22 · F24 · C23 · C25Responsible editor: Klaus F. Zimmermann? Giulia Betting.bettin@univpm.itRiccardo Lucchettir.lucchetti@univpm.it1Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali and Mo.Fi.R.,Università Politecnica delle Marche, P.le Martelli 8, 60123 Ancona, Italy© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

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